2025-11-12 12:00

Looking back at the 2022 NBA Draft, I can’t help but feel that we’re only just beginning to see the real gems emerge from that class. While Paolo Banchero and Chet Holmgren have understandably grabbed most of the headlines, I’ve always been fascinated by the players who slip under the radar—the ones who might not have been top-five picks but could end up defining their franchises for years to come. In my years covering the league, I’ve noticed that the biggest steals often reveal themselves not in their rookie seasons, but when they’re thrust into meaningful roles on teams with real stakes. That’s why I keep thinking about one particular prospect who, in my view, has all the tools to outplay his draft position dramatically.

Let’s talk about Jalen Williams of the Oklahoma City Thunder. Now, I know he wasn’t exactly an unknown—he went 12th overall—but I genuinely believe he’ll be remembered as the steal of this draft when we look back in five years. I remember watching him at Santa Clara and thinking his combination of size, ball-handling, and defensive instincts was being undervalued. In the NBA, he’s already showing why. Through the first half of this season, he’s averaging around 14 points, 4 rebounds, and 3 assists per game, but those numbers don’t tell the full story. It’s his two-way versatility and unshakeable composure that stand out. I’ve seen him guard multiple positions, create his own shot in late-clock situations, and make smart reads that you don’t often see from second-year players. The Thunder have been patient with his development, and it’s paying off.

What really convinces me, though, is how players like Williams tend to shine when their teams start competing at a higher level. Think about the reference to the Tropang Giga in the PBA—that third-quarter run where they outscored their opponent 31-21 wasn’t just a random hot streak. It was a demonstration of composure and execution when it mattered most. Teams that can flip a switch and elevate their play in pivotal moments often rely on unsung contributors, not just their stars. In the same way, I see Williams as that kind of player for Oklahoma City. When the Thunder eventually make a playoff push—and I believe they will soon—it’ll be players like him making those critical defensive stops, hitting timely shots, and helping the team “never look back,” just as the Tropang Giga did after seizing momentum.

Another guy I’ve got my eye on is Walker Kessler, who was picked 22nd by the Utah Jazz. I’ll admit, I’m a sucker for old-school big men who protect the rim without needing plays called for them. Kessler averaged over 2 blocks per game as a rookie, and while his minutes have fluctuated this season, his per-36 numbers remain elite. In today’s pace-and-space league, having a defensive anchor who can also finish efficiently around the rim is a luxury. I’ve spoken with scouts who think he could develop into a Bam Adebayo-type with more playmaking reps, and while that might be optimistic, I don’t think it’s far off. If he improves his free-throw shooting—currently hovering around 52%—he could easily be a starting center on a contender.

Then there’s the case of Christian Braun, who lucked into a perfect situation with the Denver Nuggets. Winning a championship as a rookie doesn’t automatically make you a steal, but his confidence and adaptability stood out to me throughout the playoffs. He’s not going to be a primary scorer, but he knows his role, defends with intensity, and makes smart cuts. I see him as a valuable rotation player for years, the kind of guy who helps good teams become great. Still, if I had to pick one player who I think will surpass all expectations, it’s Jalen Williams. His trajectory reminds me a bit of Jimmy Butler’s early years—underrated, multi-faceted, and steadily improving every aspect of his game.

Of course, not every mid-to-late first-round pick will pan out. There are always players who show flashes but never put it all together. But what excites me about this draft class is the depth of talent beyond the lottery. I’ve watched enough basketball to know that success isn’t just about individual skill—it’s about fit, opportunity, and mental toughness. The Tropang Giga’s surge to an 8-3 record and a twice-to-beat advantage didn’t happen by accident; it came from players stepping up when the game was on the line. Similarly, I expect several 2022 draftees to have breakout moments in high-pressure situations over the next couple of seasons.

In the end, the biggest steal isn’t always the player with the best stats—it’s the one who provides the most value relative to where they were selected. For me, that’s Jalen Williams. His all-around game, basketball IQ, and fit with a young, ascending Thunder team give him the edge. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s an All-Star by his fourth season, and I’m willing to bet that a few GMs are already kicking themselves for passing on him. The 2022 draft class has plenty of talent, but mark my words: Williams will be the one everyone looks back on as the steal of the bunch.